Vita e Pensiero
Mobility as prevailing direction for transition matrices
digital

Year:
2012
SUMMARY
Mobility indices are important tools for summarizing and comparing the dynamics of different samples.
A mobility index is defined as a function which assigns a real value I to a given transition matrix
. The function I ðPÞ, where P is the transition matrix, is chosen to describe a specific type of
mobility (e.g. the tendency to leave the current state). In this paper we develop a family of mobility
indices capable of embodying information on both the intensity and the prevailing direction of mobility
in the sample under study.
Keywords: Mobility Index, Transition Matrix, Prevailing Direction.
The performance evaluation system of the Ministry of Labour and Social Policies: an analysis of inspection activity
digital

Year:
2012
SUMMARY
For several years it has become the practice of Public Administration quality assessment as part of
the institutional activities carried out by offices to improve public services by monitoring the production
process. The Ministry of Labour and Social Policies has adopted a system of ‘‘quality assessment’’
based on indicators selected as representative of the inspection carried out in decentralized
offices. This scoring system – called Project Quality – is defined by three ‘‘synthetic indicators’’ determined
periodically by the 92 Provincial Labour Directorates (in Italian: Direzioni Provinciali del
Lavoro – DPL) operating in the country. It does indeed have a rating system that defines a ranking
among the offices. This paper presents the results of the research in order to analytically describe
the performance level with a different model and also suggesting the possible influence exerted by
‘‘local context variables’’, i.e., those relating to the geo-socio-economic differentials, in explaining
the efficiency of inspection. The data are analyzed according to the variable inspection and local
was formalized through a second-order structural equations model.
Keywords: PLS Path-Modeling, Second Order Latent Variables, Performance Evaluation, Context
Variables; Inspection Activity.
Chi-Square goodness of fit test for logistic distribution using RSS and SRS
digital

Year:
2011
In this paper, we introduce a new method to improve the power of the chi-square test for goodness
of fit (GOF) of logistic distribution under selective order ranked Set sampling (RSS) based on minimum,
median and maximum as compared to simple random sampling (SRS). Based on a simulation
study, we illustrate that the chi-square test is found to be more powerful under selective order RSS
when compared to SRS, particularly for minimum and maximum. However, for the case of median
RSS, the test is found to be more powerful under SRS. To investigate these results further, the Kullback-
Leibler information (KLI) is applied and similar results are found.
Keywords: Goodness of fit test, chi-square test, logistic distribution, ranked set sample, simple random
sample.
Point and interval estimation for some financial performance measures
digital

Year:
2011
We study the estimators of three financial performance measures: the Sharpe Ratio, the Mean Difference
Ratio and the Mean Absolute Deviation Ratio. The analysis is performed under two sets of
assumptions. First, the case of i.i.d. Normal returns is considered. After that, relaxing the normality
assumption, the case of i.i.d. returns is investigated. In both situations, we study the bias of the estimators
and we propose their bias-corrected version. The exact and asymptotic distribution of the
three estimators is derived under the assumption of i.i.d. Normal returns. Concerning the case of
i.i.d. returns, the asymptotic distribution of the estimators is provided. The latter distributions are
used to define exact or asymptotic confidence intervals for the three indices. Finally, we perform a
simulation study in order to assess the efficiency of the bias corrected estimators, the coverage accuracy
and the length of the asymptotic confidence intervals.
Keywords: Financial Performance Measure, Sharpe Ratio, Mean Difference Ratio, Mean Absolute
Deviation Ratio, Concentration Measures, Statistical Analysis of Financial Data.
Improved group acceptance sampling plans for the gamma distributed items
digital

Year:
2011
In this paper, a time truncated group acceptance sampling plan (GASP) is designed under the Gamma
distribution. The present plan is modification of the existing plan to reduce the number of
groups/sample size. The plan parameters are obtained by satisfying the producer’s risk and consumer’s
risk (two points approach) for specified values of mean ratio and number of testers. The single
point approach is also used to find plan parameters such as number of groups for specified values
of acceptance number and experiment time. The extensive tables, graphs and examples are given
for illustration purposes. The advantage of the proposed plan discussed over the existing plans.
Keywords: Group Acceptance Sampling; Consumer’s Risk; Producer’s Risk; Gamma Distribution;
Operating Characteristic Values.
The Confidence Ellipses in Multiple Non-Symmetrical Correspondence Analysis for the Evaluation of the Innovative Performance of the manufacturing enterprises in Campania
digital

Year:
2011
Non-Symmetric Correspondence Analysis-NSCA (D’Ambra and Lauro, 1989) is a useful technique
for analyzing a two-way contingency table. There are many real-life applications where it is not appropriate
to perform classical correspondence analysis because of the obvious asymmetry of the association
between the variables. The key difference between the symmetrical and non-symmetrical
versions of correspondence analysis rests on the measure of the association used to quantify the relationship
between the variables. For a two-way, or multi-way, contingency table, the Pearson chisquared
statistic is commonly used when it can be assumed that the categorical variables are symmetrically
related. However, for a two-way table, it may be that one variable can be treated as a
predictor variable and the second variable can be considered as a response variable. Yet, for such
a variable structure, the Pearson chi-squared statistic is not an appropriate measure of the association.
Instead, one may consider the Goodman-Kruskal tau index. In the case that there are more
than two cross-classified variables, multivariate versions of the Goodman-Kruskal tau index can be
considered. These include Marcotorchino’s index (Marcotorchino, 1985) and Gray-Williams’ index
(Gray and Williams, 1975). In the present paper, the Multiple non- Symmetric Correspondence Analysis-
MNSCA (Gray and Williams, J. S,1975), is used for the evaluation of the innovative performance
of the manufacturing enterprises in Campania. Innovation represents a very important element
for the competition of the enterprises and economic growth. Only the enterprises which are
able to innovate regularly can have at their disposal a range of more and more appealing products
for the customers. Moreover, only a constant innovation provides the constant efficiency of the processes
and the optimization of the production costs. Finally, the use of the ellipse confidence has
allowed to identify a category which is statistically significant.
Keywords: CATANOVA, Confidence Ellipse, Gray-Williams Multiple Tau Index, Multiple Non Symmetrical
Correspondence Analysis
The effect of education and ability. An estimation on the labour income of Italian graduates
digital

Year:
2011
In this paper we present a method for estimating the effect of college education independent of individual
ability. We use a matching procedure to compare graduates and high school diploma holders
(the latter to be used as counterfactuals) in order to identify both treatment and ability parameters
in a two-regime equation model. A sensitivity analysis suggests that our matching results are robust
with respect to a possible bias due to unobserved heterogeneity. Using Istat’s Survey on Italian
Graduates, we estimate that the average effect of one year of college attendance on labour income
is close to 7.5%. Unlike the results reported in recent literature, the effect of education is not higher
for better endowed individuals.
Keywords: Ability Bias, Matching, Treatment Effects Estimation, Two-Regime Regression Model.
Perception of poverty. Individual, household and social enviromental determinants
digital

Year:
2011
This paper aims to show to what extent self-perception of poverty is affected by respondent/household
socio-economic characteristics and by social capital endowment of household place of residence
in order to disclose the primary risk factors of family poverty status. Such evidence would
help central and local government to define those economic and social goals which should receive
more attention by current policies with the purpose of advancing towards the eradication of poverty.
In order to purse this aim the logit model has been applied to analyze answers to the dichotomous
transformation of the following question taken from the 2008 Survey on Household Income and
Wealth (SHIW) of the Bank of Italy CONSIDERING YOUR MONTHLY DISPOSABLE INCOME, IS YOUR HOUSEHOLD
ABLE TO MAKE ENDS MEET: (1) WITH GREAT DIFFICULTY, (2) WITH DIFFICULTY, (3) WITH SOME DIFFICULTY,
(4) WITHOUT DIFFICULTY, (5) WITH EASE, (6) WITH GREAT EASE? The results show a relevant effect
on self-perception of poverty of both respondent /household socio-economic characteristics and
social capital. In particular, the components social relationships and social engagement contribute
to reduce the risk of a self-perceived poverty. Actually, networks characterized by relationships of
trust are key determinants of human welfare as people socio-economic vulnerability is reduced as
well as the resources they need only for the fact that they must deal with risk and avert major
losses.
Keywords: Self-perception of Poverty, Social Capital, Household Socio-Economic Characteristics,
Policy-Makers
Special Issue: Partially ordered sets
digital

Year:
2011
Applied Statistics is certainly devoted to extract information from any kind of data.
Data which characterize objects of interest. Ranking, i.e. finding a complete order
among objects, belongs to the tasks of Applied Statistics. Not anticipating a historical
research, it seems, however, as if the task of ranking in terms of the theory of
partially ordered sets does not play that role in statistics which it should do, taking
into account the enormous multitude, diversity and popularity of ranking studies.
The idea is simple, not to say trivial. Let objects x1, …, xn be characterized by m data,
attributes, say qj(j = l, …, m), then xi1 < xi2 if and only if qj (xi1) = qj (xi2) for all j, and with at least one qj* with a strict inequality. It can be easily seen that this definition (being the basis of the ‘‘Hasse diagram technique’’ (HDT)) does not guarantee that every object is in a
A multi-criteria fuzzy approach for analyzing poverty structure
digital

Year:
2011
Poverty is a fuzzy and complex phenomenon which is intrinsically multidimensional. First attempts
of tackling poverty with multidimensional measures trace back to the seventies with the conceptual
writings on income poverty by Amartya Sen (1976). Since then much research has been devoted to
answer questions of the type: (i) Who is poor? (ii) How poor is a poor? The measure of poverty
and social exclusion is certainly a key point in poverty description. While much effort has been put
in the last decades to the measurement of poverty, less attention has been paid to find relations
among different poverty aspects. In this paper, we start from a classical definition of the population
of the poor and we employ Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Analysis to provide an attempt to relate poverty aspects to one another, which we call a ‘structural representation of poverty’. Our focus is on the pattern of implications existing among different descriptors characterizing poverty aspects. We show how fuzzy relation theory and partially ordered set techniques are effective in representing complex relational structures and provide new insights into multidimensional poverty. As simple test cases the method is applied to data concerning two Italian regions based on EU-SILC database 2004.
Keywords: Multidimensional Poverty, Multi-criteria Analysis, Poverty Structure, Ordinal Variables, Posets, Fuzzy Quasi-order Relations.
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