Escaping poverty in Spain: 1993-2000. What are the main routes?
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This paper investigates the effects of different events on the probability of escaping poverty in Spain. We first use a mutually exclusive hierarchical categorization of event types for each person experiencing a poverty spell ending and find that demographic events occur in 16% of households transiting out of poverty while income events occur in 84% remaining cases. Once we decompose the effects of trigger events in the prevalence of events and differences in the chances of making a transition conditional on an event we find that the routes out of poverty are varied. Wage and salary earnings events take place more often and are quite effective in the promotion of households out of poverty, while the welfare state events are less frequent but can be more effective. Multivariate results corroborate that there are factors that reduce chances to escape poverty: time spent in poverty, pensions or unemployment as main household income and certain situation and types of households. On the other hand, the most effective increment is in wage and salary earnings or self-employment and the higher the number of active members or income receiver members in the household, the higher the chances to leave poverty.
Keywords: trigger events, exits from poverty, hierarchical categorization, multivariate regression.
Authors biographyElena Bárcena Martín, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría– Universidad de Málaga – Campus de El Ejido, 29071 MÁLAGA, SPAIN (e-mail: barcenae@uma.es)Antonio Fernández Morales, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría– Universidad de Málaga – Campus de El Ejido, 29071 MÁLAGA, SPAIN (e-mail: afdez@uma.es) Beatriz Lacomba Arias, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría– Universidad de Málaga – Campus de El Ejido, 29071 MÁLAGA, SPAIN (e-mail: beatriz@uma.es) Guillermina Martín Reyes Departamento de Estadística y Econometría– Universidad de Málaga – Campus de El Ejido, 29071 MÁLAGA, SPAIN (e-mail: gmartin@uma.es). |
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